The Cowboys Defense Is Asking for Trouble

The Dallas Cowboys secondary has been a problem all season, and I expect Brock Purdy to take full advantage. This is a defense that has struggled to stop just about anybody, and now it gets one of the most efficient quarterbacks in football coming to town. I expect Purdy to have a field day.

Let's look at the numbers. Through nine games, Dallas has surrendered 225.2 passing yards per game, ranking 18th in the NFL. Opposing quarterbacks have completed 65.5% of their passes against the Cowboys, thrown 16 touchdowns and managed a 99.1 passer rating. Dallas has also allowed 372.7 total yards per game, ranking 30th in the league. This defense isn't just vulnerable through the air; it's been a mess across the board.

Now consider the quarterback on the other side. Purdy has thrown for 1,980 yards and 17 touchdowns through eight games this season. He's thrown at least two touchdown passes in six of his eight appearances, including a four-touchdown performance against Arizona and three against the Rams. He's also coming off a two-touchdown outing against Las Vegas.

There's another reason I love this matchup: Purdy has already faced Dallas twice in his career, throwing for 512 yards, five touchdowns and zero interceptions. That's an average of 2.5 touchdown passes per game against the Cowboys.

The standard Over 1.5 is certainly worth considering, despite the high vig. I believe San Francisco will move the ball consistently, and Dallas has shown very little ability to slow down opposing passing attacks.

This is the kind of matchup where Purdy can put up a monster number.

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