Young Will Give Us Length Today

Brandon Young has quietly become one of the steadiest arms to back, and I'm riding his Over 17.5 Outs Recorded once again.

Young is coming off back-to-back quality starts in which he allowed just one earned run total, lowering his season ERA to 3.13. While those numbers are impressive, what really stands out from a betting perspective is his ability to work deep into games.

Young has pitched at least six innings in each of his last three starts and has reached that mark in eight of his last 11 outings. Even on days when he doesn't have his best stuff, the Orioles have shown they're comfortable letting him battle through the sixth inning. That kind of trust from the coaching staff is exactly what you're looking for when betting an outs prop.

The matchup also works in his favor. He'll face a Phillies lineup that could be without Kyle Schwarber, who is dealing with an illness. Philadelphia's offense has cooled off considerably, scoring one run or fewer in three of its last five games and two runs or fewer in eight of its last 16 contests. This isn't the same lineup that was steamrolling opponents earlier in the season.

Young isn't the flashy name on the board, and he won't grab many headlines, but he's been one of the more reliable pitchers when it comes to pitching deep into games. Sometimes the best betting value comes from consistency rather than star power.

The number is set at 17.5 outs, meaning we simply need Young to complete six innings. Given his recent workload, the confidence Baltimore has shown in him, and a favorable matchup against a slumping Phillies offense, I like his chances of getting there once again.

Best Bet: Brandon Young Over 17.5 Outs Recorded. This is a prop built on consistency, and Young has been cashing this ticket on a regular basis.

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